Document Type

Honors Project

Abstract

In 2020, Donald Trump lost re-election to Joe Biden by around 4.5% nationally. Despite losing in his re-election bid, Trump was able to make surprising inroads with Hispanic voters, reaching the highest Republican totals with Hispanic voters in decades. This trend held true across nearly every Hispanic neighborhood in the country. From large Hispanic-majority cities such as Miami to isolated pockets of Hispanic voters in New England, there was a consistent rightward trend. Moreover, this trend largely continued into 2022, with most Republican candidates in the midterm elections matching Trump’s numbers. This paper will take an in depth look at two case studies, Miami-Dade County and the Rio Grande Valley, to explore how national trends and local politics interact. Through this method, I seek to draw conclusions about some of the potential factors that may be contributing to Hispanic conservatism.

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